YouGov’s latest Public Data poll reveals that Labor has extended its lead over the Coalition in the race for the upcoming Federal election, while Prime Minister Anthony Albanese has strengthened his position as the preferred Prime Minister.
Labor now leads the Coalition 52.5% to 47.5% in the two-party preferred vote, marking a 1.5% increase from last week’s public poll. This result YouGov’s highest two-party preferred vote for Labor in 18 months, slightly surpassing the Labor party's winning result in the 2022 Federal Election.
Labor's primary vote has risen by 2% to 32%, while the Coalition's primary vote has decreased by 1.5%, now standing at 33.5%. One Nation has seen an increase, rising to 8.5% (+1.5%), while the Greens and Others remain steady. In contrast, support for Independents has fallen by 1%, now at 9%, and the Trumpets of Patriots have dropped by 1%, standing at 1%.
Paul Smith, YouGov Director of Public Data, commented on the shift in public sentiment: “The Coalition, which only in February was in a strong position to win government, is now struggling to hold onto the seats it won in 2022. This shift is largely due to the unpopularity of policies such as the ban work-from-home arrangements and the plan to sack 41,000 public sector workers.”
Smith added, "Dutton's backdown on his controversial work-from-home policies and public sector sackings has directly impacted his standing with voters, as evidenced by his falling a further 4% behind as preferred Prime Minister. Meanwhile, Albanese continues to solidify his lead as preferred Prime Minister, with his satisfaction ratings showing a steady improvement."
Preferred Prime Minister
In the race for preferred Prime Minister, Albanese has widened his lead, securing 48% of the vote compared to Peter Dutton's 37%. This represents an 11% margin, the largest Albanese has enjoyed since June 2024.
Net satisfaction for both party leaders remain negative, but Albanese’s score has steadily improved to -2%, indicating growing voter approval. In contrast, Dutton’s net satisfaction has sharply declined to -15%, representing his equal lowest rating to date.
The poll was conducted between April 4th and April 10th, 2025, surveyed 1,505 Australians. YouGov will continue to publish weekly tracking polls, providing additional insights as the election approaches. For more information on the poll and future updates, please visit the YouGov website.
For further information or comment, contact Paul Smith, Director of Public Data, at paul.smith@yougov.com
Methodology: This survey was conducted between April 4th and April 10th with a sample of 1505. Results are weighted to be representative of the population by age, gender, education, AEC region, household income, weighting by past vote (Federal vote and Voice referendum), with an effective margin of error of 3.3%. See Australian Polling Council methodology statement for full weightings. YouGov allocated preferences using the respondent allocated methodology set out on MRP methodology page.
YouGov correctly predicted the result of the recent referendum at 40% Yes, 60% No, and is a founding member of the Australian Polling Council, as well as a global leader in polling research. We are the only polling company to have polled our entire panel of survey participants to ensure our polls are representative of how Australians voted in the Voice referendum.
