More Australians are in favour than in opposition of recognising Palestine as an independent state

May 09, 2024, 2:51 AM GMT+0

YouGov’s newest public data findings have revealed that 35% of Australians think the Australian Government should recognise Palestine as an independent state.

One in five (21%), however, think that the Australian Government should not recognise Palestine.

44% indicated that they were not sure, the most common response.

Of the surveyed demographics, the following groups had highest support for recognising Palestine.

  • Voted Yes in the Voice referendum: 53% in favour, 8% against
  • University-level education: 45% in favour, 18% against
  • Speaks a language other than English at home: 44% in favour, 19% against
  • Practises a non-Christian religion: 45% in favour, 19% against

By voting intention, those who voted for the Greens at the last Federal election had the largest percentage, of any demographic, of those who wanted to recognise Palestine as an independent state, with 63%.

Comparatively, Labor Party voters were over three times more likely to be in favour (39%) than against (12%).

However, previous Coalition voters were more likely to be opposed (34%) than in favour (25%), as were One Nation voters, who were 33% opposed, and only 18% in favour.

The poll was taken after the Australian government was reported to be considering recognising Palestine as an independent state in early April.

The Australian government will consider whether to recognise Palestine ahead of a United Nations vote expected this Friday on awarding Palestine with full member status of the UN.

Paul Smith, Director of Public Affairs and Public Data, said, “YouGov’s public data has found that there is over three to one support for the recognition of Palestine amongst Labor voters engaged in this issue. Opposition is largely composed of Coalition voters, so recognising Palestine is unlikely to affect Labor’s electoral support adversely.”

Methodology: This survey was conducted between 19 and 23 April with a sample of 1514. Results are weighted to be representative of the population by age, gender, education, AEC region, household income, weighting by past vote (Federal vote and Voice referendum), with an effective margin of error of 3.2%. See Australian Polling Council methodology statement for full weightings.

YouGov correctly predicted the result of the recent referendum at 40% Yes, 60% No, and is a founding member of the Australian Polling Council, as well as a global leader in polling research. We are the only polling company to have polled our entire panel of survey participants to ensure our polls are representative of how Australians vote in the Voice referendum.

For further information or comment contact Paul Smith, Director of Government or Amir Daftari, Director of Polling