- Dutton’s satisfaction rating has sharply dropped since February, marking his lowest net satisfaction score in YouGov’s Public Data polls to date
- Anthony Albanese has increased his lead as preferred Prime Minister over Dutton, now at 45%-38%
YouGov’s latest Public Data poll has uncovered significant shifts in voter sentiment ahead of the next federal election. The poll shows that Peter Dutton has recorded his worst-ever net satisfaction rating of -15, down from -2 in February.
Labor and Coalition primary votes have seen a decline since the March 21st Public Data poll with Labor's primary vote standing at 30% (-1) and the Coalition’s at 35% (-2). The Greens hold steady at 13%, One Nation remains at 7%, and other parties remain unchanged at 3%. Meanwhile, Independents have risen to 10% (+2), and Trumpets of Patriots have gained to 2% (+1).
Labor takes a 2% lead over the Coalition with a 51% to 49% split in the two-party preferred vote.
Paul Smith, Director of Public Data at YouGov, commented, “Peter Dutton’s personal satisfaction ratings have plummeted to their lowest level, following his embrace of controversial Trump-style policies such as banning work-from-home arrangements and proposing to sack 40,000 public sector workers. These actions have clearly impacted his public perception, contributing to a significant drop in satisfaction.”
Net Satisfaction Ratings
Both party leaders remain in negative territory regarding net satisfaction. However, for the first time since June 2024, Peter Dutton is rated more negatively than Anthony Albanese:
- Anthony Albanese currently has a net satisfaction rating of -6 (44% satisfied, 50% dissatisfied).
- Peter Dutton holds a net satisfaction rating of -15, lowest ever in the YouGov Public Data Poll (38% satisfied, 53% dissatisfied).
Preferred Prime Minister:
Albanese continues to hold a lead as the preferred Prime Minister, with 45% backing him compared to 38% for Dutton.
The survey was conducted between March 28thth and April 3rd, 2025, with a sample of 1622 Australians. YouGov will continue to publish weekly tracking polls leading up to the next election. For insights on the Australian Federal election. Please see more insights on the YouGov website.
For further information or comment, contact Paul Smit, Director of Public Data, at paul.smith@yougov.com
Methodology: This survey was conducted between March 28th and April 3rd with a sample of 1622. Results are weighted to be representative of the population by age, gender, education, AEC region, household income, weighting by past vote (Federal vote and Voice referendum), with an effective margin of error of 3.3%. See Australian Polling Council methodology statement for full weightings. YouGov allocated preferences using the respondent allocated methodology set out on MRP methodology page.
YouGov correctly predicted the result of the recent referendum at 40% Yes, 60% No, and is a founding member of the Australian Polling Council, as well as a global leader in polling research. We are the only polling company to have polled our entire panel of survey participants to ensure our polls are representative of how Australians voted in the Voice referendum.
