YouGov’s latest public data poll has found that 69% of Australian voters support the government’s proposal to change the stage 3 tax cuts. This support also comes from 55% of those who voted for the Coalition in 2022.
Voters for all main parties in 2022 Federal election agreed with the proposed changes.
Paul Smith, YouGov Director of Government said, “With 69% of voters, including 55% of 2022 Coalition voters, supporting changing the stage 3 tax cuts, it is clear why Peter Dutton had no choice but to reverse the Coalition’s position and support the changes.”
This new tax proposal was also supported by all sides of the Voice referendum, by both those who voted “Yes” and “No”.
The only group of voters who endorsed keeping the tax cuts as originally proposed, were people whose monthly net income exceeded $10,000.
All other income groups supported the new changes; changes that favoured lower to mid income owners.
The poll also measured current voter intention.
Paul Smith says, “If an election were held today, Labor would receive 52% of the two-party preferred vote, the same as YouGov’s January public data poll. This is close to Labor’s 52.13% in the 2022 Federal election.
“Labor has stabilised at an election winning 52% of the two-party preferred vote this year, after ending the last year on a record low primary vote of 29% (now at 32%), as seen in YouGov’s December poll.”
Results to other questions reveal the emergence of a steady pattern.
Labor’s primary vote is unchanged (32%), while the Coalition is down by 1, at 36%. The Greens are up 1 at 14%, and One Nation is also up 1, at 8%.
The net satisfaction for both major party leaders remains negative once again. Prime Minister Anthony Albanese is down 3, returning to –16 (from -13 last month).
Peter Dutton’s rating continues to rise, up by 1, coming in at -8.
Although Anthony Albanese is still the preferred Prime Minister, at 45%, over Peter Dutton (38%), this margin has closed to 7 percentage points, from the margin of 10 seen last month.
17% of Australians don’t prefer either candidate as Prime Minister.
Methodology: This survey was conducted between 2nd and 7th of February with a sample of 1502. Results are weighted to be representative of the population by age, gender, education, AEC region, household income, weighting by past vote (Federal vote and Voice referendum), with a margin of error of 3.12%. See Australian Polling Council methodology statement for full weightings.
YouGov correctly predicted the result of the recent referendum at 40% Yes, 60% No, and is a founding member of the Australian Polling Council, as well as a global leader in polling research. We are the only polling company to have polled our entire panel of survey participants straight so we can make sure our polls are representative of how Australians vote in the referendum vote.
For further information or comment contact Paul Smith Director of Government paul.smith@yougov.com
