YouGov’s latest Public Data poll reveals that Labor holds a 51% to 49% lead over the Coalition in the two-party preferred vote, with Anthony Albanese expanding his lead as Preferred Prime Minister to 45%, ahead of Peter Dutton at 39%.
This is the first time Labor has had a two-party preferred lead in a YouGov poll in 8 months, the last time being in July 2024.
Labor’s primary vote stands at 31%, an increase of 3%, while the Coalition has slipped to 36%, down 1%. The Greens hold 13% (-1), One Nation is at 7% (-1), and Independents remain unchanged at 10%. Trumpets of Patriots and other parties each account for 1% and 2%, respectively.
Paul Smith, Director of Public Data at YouGov, commented, “Labor’s Medicare bulk billing commitments, along with the ongoing Ukraine crisis, have strengthened Labor’s primary vote and support for Anthony Albanese leadership as Preferred Prime Minister.”
Despite these shifts, satisfaction with both party leaders remains negative:
- Prime Minister Albanese has a net satisfaction rating of -9% (42% satisfied, 51% dissatisfied).
- Opposition Leader Peter Dutton fares slightly better with a net rating of -4% (43% satisfied, 47% dissatisfied).
Albanese’s lead as preferred Prime Minister has grown, with 45% of voters supporting him compared to 39% for Dutton.
The poll was conducted between February 28th and March 6th, 2025, with a sample size of 1,504 Australians. YouGov will continue to publish weekly tracking polls as the next election approaches. For insights on the Australian Federal election Please see more insights on the YouGov website.
For further comment please contact Paul Smith, Director of Public Data paul.smith@yougov.com
Methodology: This survey was conducted between February 28th and March 6th with a sample of 1504. Results are weighted to be representative of the population by age, gender, education, AEC region, household income, weighting by past vote (Federal vote and Voice referendum), with an effective margin of error of 3.4%. See Australian Polling Council methodology statement for full weightings. YouGov allocated preferences using the respondent allocated methodology set out on MRP methodology page.
YouGov correctly predicted the result of the recent referendum at 40% Yes, 60% No, and is a founding member of the Australian Polling Council, as well as a global leader in polling research. We are the only polling company to have polled our entire panel of survey participants to ensure our polls are representative of how Australians voted in the Voice referendum.
