Albanese leads Dutton as preferred Prime Minister (45%-40%)
YouGov’s latest public data poll reveals a tightly contested election, with the two-party preferred vote tied at 50%-50%.
Labor’s primary vote remains unchanged at 31%, while the Coalition has gained 1 percentage point, now at 37%. There were minimal changes across other parties since last week: the Greens are at 13% (-0.5), One Nation at 7% (-0.5), and Independents at 8% (-1). The Trumpets of Patriots remain at 1%, and other parties have risen to 3% (+1).
Anthony Albanese continues to lead as the preferred Prime Minister, with 45% of voters backing him, compared to 40% for Peter Dutton.
Paul Smith, YouGov Director of Public Data, commented: “The election is evenly poised with the two-party preferred vote split at 50%-50%, but Anthony Albanese has consolidated his lead as Prime Minister with 45% support.”
Satisfaction ratings for both party leaders remain negative:
- Prime Minister Albanese holds a net satisfaction rating of -9% (41% satisfied, 50% dissatisfied).
- Opposition Leader Peter Dutton has a net satisfaction rating of -5% (42% satisfied, 47% dissatisfied).
The survey was conducted between March 14th and March 19th, 2025, with a sample size of 1,500 Australians. YouGov will continue to publish weekly tracking polls leading up to the next election.
For further insights on the Australian Federal election, visit the YouGov website.
Methodology: This survey was conducted between March 14th and March 19th with a sample of 1500. Results are weighted to be representative of the population by age, gender, education, AEC region, household income, weighting by past vote (Federal vote and Voice referendum), with an effective margin of error of 3.4%. See Australian Polling Council methodology statement for full weightings. YouGov allocated preferences using the respondent allocated methodology set out on MRP methodology page.
YouGov correctly predicted the result of the recent referendum at 40% Yes, 60% No, and is a founding member of the Australian Polling Council, as well as a global leader in polling research. We are the only polling company to have polled our entire panel of survey participants to ensure our polls are representative of how Australians voted in the Voice referendum.
